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These placements are certainly not exact - they may conveniently be several miles north or south of where I have shown them, but I'm very confident that I am in the appropriate typical region. Now, the conclusion I attract from this placement is as follows: the cross sections are reasonably representative in the crest of North 'Ain Dar.
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I see that Cambridge Electrical power Analysis Associates proceeds to have a radically unique view of future (2015) oil offer:
Now, we don't have quantitative fractional movement curves for 'Ain Dar and Shedgum in the intervening time. Even so, we know 1 point around the curve for 'Ain Dar from Alhuthali et al (Paper #93439), which reports on measurements of rock appropriate beside an deserted drinking water injector nicely. The pores of that rock experienced 21% oil, seventy nine% drinking water.
It is also almost certainly truly worth stressing below that I am not and hardly ever are actually a reservoir engineer. I used to be academically trained in physics and Laptop science, and also have generally worked while in the latter field. I'm equipped to understand reservoir engineering textbooks and papers, nonetheless it's doable that deficiency of deep information and operational knowledge might result in mistakes.
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In general, we're in need of about 2mbd of rationalization - 1mbpd of net lessened generation, 690kbd of added C&C production with the Qatif/Abu Safar redevelopment that didn't clearly show up in the very best line, and 300kbpd of Haradh III redevelopment that also must are offset.
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